What do Qatar bring to the Gold Cup?

 

The 2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup is set to kick off on July 10th, with a qualifying round starting on July 2nd to settle the final three spots in the 16-team group stage. In the field you have your usual suspects; Mexico, USA, Costa Rica, Honduras, Jamaica, etc. But you'll also spot in Group D the return of an old Gold Cup tradition; the guest team. This time around it is 2022 Men's World Cup hosts Qatar, who are making their Gold Cup debut.

Qatar are a very often misunderstood team in this part of the world, so I wanted to bring a little clarity to what exactly they bring to the Gold Cup this year. 

They're good. Real good. Much talk has been made about how Qatar will be likely the worst team to ever host the World Cup, but over the past few years I think they have certainly shown they are very much at a World Cup level. Qatar are actually the reigning Asian champions, having won the 2019 AFC Asian Cup in dominating fashion. It might even be fair to say that their performance in 2019 was the most dominating in the history of the Asian continental championships. 

In that tournament, Qatar won 7 out of 7 matches, scored 19 goals, and conceded just once, to Japan in the final. They beat 2018 World Cup participants Saudi Arabia (2-0), South Korea (1-0), and Japan (3-1) and thrashed the UAE 4-0 in the semifinals. They were far and away the best team in Asia, a confederation that at the top is often measured to be at a similar level to Concacaf. It's very fair to say at the time Qatar were on par even with Mexico.

Almoez Ali scored nine goals at that tournament, and his partner in crime Akram Afif had 10 assists. A total of 8 Qataris made the team of the tournament.

They've got experience. Besides for their Asian Cup run, this generation of players also were able to play in the 2019 Copa America later that year, where they didn't fare nearly as well, finishing with only one point. To be fair, it was a tough group; they drew Paraguay and lost 1-0 to Colombia and 2-0 to Argentina.

The experience of traveling to the Americas to play an international tournament will not be a new one for many of these players, though of course they've never done so during a pandemic. But having a better feel for the travel and schedule can't hurt, and their group of Honduras, Panama and Grenada certainly is much weaker than what they faced in Brazil 2019.

They aren't bending the rules. Much fuss has been made in the past about Qatar naturalizing athletes from other countries to compete at the Olympics and in other sports, and this has carried over to football. Many people upon hearing that Qatar dominated the Asian Cup wanted to know which Brazilians had moved over there. I think talking about the rules on naturalizing citizens is a dicey discussion, but we actually don't have to get deep into it here because Qatar's football team isn't really built that way.

Of the 11 starters from that Asian Cup run, seven were born in Qatar and two more moved there when they were toddlers (one of those two, young star Almoez Ali, is also eligible through his Qatari born mother). Simply put, the criticisms of them abusing the rule about naturalized citizens are made up. And of course this is to say nothing of the fact that international football is a game played by international citizens, and many (most!) national teams have taken to recruiting dual nationals and naturalizing players. There is nothing wrong with that; but even if there were, Qatar are hardly the worst offenders.

There are lots of things to be mad at Qatari World Cup organizers about, but there is nothing villainous about the football team itself. Unless you are a big Japan fan, I suppose. Hopefully they bring with them some of their early 2019 form and put on a good show. How far will they go? It's conceivable that they win the whole thing, but it's also more than possible they flunk out of a strong group with Honduras and Panama. I'll pencil them in as losing a tight quarterfinal match-up against Mexico.

Concacaf WCQ: First Round Rambles, Second Round Hype

An Anticlimactic First Round?

The first round of 2022 World Cup qualification in the Concacaf region is complete. Emerging victorious from the six groups are El Salvador, Canada, Curacao, Panama, Haiti, and the surprise St. Kitts and Nevis. Across the four rounds of play, there was a lot of good football played and I thought it was a lot of fun. 

I find myself writing about competition formats quite frequently, probably too frequently, but I am going to do so again here anyway. I don't really think that this format was a fair or fun way to decide who advances and who doesn't. Ignoring the byes given to the top five teams (which I largely have no issue with), there is just something that doesn't feel quite right about how this group stage ended.

On the final day, we had five group deciding matches being played. In all five of them, the group favorite was at home, only needing a draw to advance. Canada, Haiti, El Salvador, and Panama all won anyway, while only Curacao actually coasted to a 0-0 draw to advance. Now don't get me wrong, I think that ultimately the best team won every group and nobody can really feel too hard done, but I'm not sure that Pot 1 hosting Pot 2 on the final matchday is really giving a fair shot to those Pot 2 teams. Would things have gone differently if it was Suriname hosting Canada? (For what its worth, Canada was not in Canada, of course.)

The Pot 1 teams were presumably given this as an advantage for being seeded; but being seeded is itself the advantage. To also give the top seeds a big advantage in the match against their only strong competition is a little much in my opinion. Compounding with this issue is the fact that goal difference was the all-important tiebreaker. Normally it is a logical tiebreaker, but in these circumstances where the big teams are running up the score on Anguilla and the British Virgin Islands, it seems a bit silly to have it play such a critical role. Guatemala crushed their opposition, did not concede any goals, and went on the road to Curacao and did not lose, but they are out because Curacao beat up the weak teams a tad more.

I don't think it made for a particularly exciting final day from the fan perspective, either. All the top teams only had to hold serve and we all knew that was almost certainly going to happen. It just worked out that both possible outcomes were not going to be very thrilling; El Salvador comfortably beating Antigua in a relatively full Cuscatlán was nothing special nor was Curacao grinding out a 0-0 draw.

Ultimately, like I said, I think Curacao are the better team and have the much better shot at beating Panama, and it has to be said that Guatemala definitely *could* have beaten Curacao and then they wouldn't need me to make this excuse for them, but I feel it was a little bit of an anticlimactic way to go out. Is it fair? Maybe? But hey, even if it wasn't, we got the "fair" results so I can't complain. Anyway, the second round promises to be more exciting, and the octagonal promises to be even more exciting than that, so I don't want to sound too negative.

Looking Ahead

The second round takes place later this month, and has a much simpler win and you're in format. The two legged ties for a place in the octagonal will be as follows: 

St. Kitts and Nevis vs El Salvador

Haiti vs Canada

Panama vs Curacao

St. Kitts did great to get this far, seizing their moment in a weaker group and defeating Guyana to clinch before the final match even started. But over two legs, it is hard to see them dealing with El Salvador, who are eager to get into the final round after having been removed from it due to the format change.

Haiti vs Canada is an exciting storyline as a rematch of the best game of the 2019 Gold Cup and one of the best games in Gold Cup history. Canada come in looking awfully good while Haiti have been just decent when compared to the 2019 version of themselves. I believe Canada will win this one, but hopefully Haiti can give us another classic.

Panama vs Curacao is an interesting series that is tough to call. Both teams have World Cup dreams and to fall out before even making the octagonal would be a miniature disaster, but only one can move on. Panama really labored through the March window, just squeaking past Barbados and Dominica but they really put the hurt on the DR in the game that mattered the most. Curacao did quite the opposite, they looked so strong throughout the round but in the decider against Guatemala just barely skated by. I'll take Panama, but not by much.

USL League Two, Player Development, and Supporting Local Soccer

Hello everyone, I return! Had a very busy spring but now am going to try to do a few posts here and there during this exciting Gold Cup/Nations League/WCQ summer. We're back today to discuss the USL League Two, an interesting lower league in the United States with a very not-interesting name. Oh how I wept when the USL decided to name its three leagues the Championship, League One, and League Two. But despite my grumbles about copying an English naming scheme, I like the USL League Two a lot. It's a great source of local soccer and I have found myself going to few games in the area every summer (besides last year, obviously) for a while now. 

There are around 80 League Two clubs scattered across the US as of right now, and they play a 14-game regular season that culminates in a 16 team playoff tournament from May-July. But after going to a few games this past month (my first three events since the pandemic hit!), I wanted to talk about where the USL2 stands in the US soccer world. The venerable sage of Concacaf, Jon Arnold, wrote last year about the relationship between minor league soccer and minor league baseball. It's well worth your time if you haven't read it before.

To continue with that same school of thought, if the USLC and USL1 are in some ways the new minor league baseball, then the USL2 is a combination of all the famous wood-bat collegiate baseball leagues across North America. It is a league stocked mostly by college players looking to maintain NCAA eligibility, though there are a few veterans from pro teams or just older amateurs on many rosters as well. But why does every baseball fan know what the Cape Cod League is, and not many soccer fans (even fans of American soccer) know about the USL League Two?

This is the question I have been asking myself over the past week. Here we have a strong developmental league that produces MLS draft pick after MLS draft pick, and yet even MLS diehards do not seem to care. Going to many of these games around New Jersey, the crowds are mostly parents and local coaches, with "conventional" fans mostly only showing up to playoff matches or special event nights. Why aren't the diehard Union fans showing up in nearby South Jersey to see some of the top draft prospects? Where were the Red Bulls fans when Jersey Express (who supplied several players to the Bulls over the years) were playing games at NJIT just a mile away from Red Bull Arena? 

When I ask the question: 'why does nobody care about the USL League Two?' I of course understand why most people do not care about it. It's not supposed to be widely cared about. But while the other USL divisions flourish with the more niche soccer audience, the USL2 generally speaking, does not. There are a few exceptions of course. The highly successful Mid-Michigan Bucks, after moving to Flint in 2019, drew crowds of 5000+. And in Des Moines, which lacks a pro-team, the Menace have had averaged a few thousand fans for decades. But these cases are few and far between.

Now one thing that people are going to say about a league that feeds into the MLS draft pool is that, well, the MLS draft is mostly a worthless endeavor with the exception of a handful of players at the top. In reality, the MLS draft stocks the USL Championship, not MLS. But can the same not be said about the Cape Cod League and the MLB draft? There are literally thousands of players drafted into organized baseball every year, and only a small percentage of them ever make the big leagues. So the Cape Cod League (or any moderately successful collegiate summer league) boasting about how many MLB draft picks they have among their ranks is ultimately not that impressive, yet those boasts draw in respectable crowds. The USL League Two makes similar boasts (75% of the players drafted in 2020 played in the USL2), yet it does not draw in fans the same way.

I don't really have a grandiose point to make about the USL League Two, but I feel like this conversation is worth having. US Soccer fandom seems to emphasize local soccer so much; fans love to talk about what it means to support their local club and after the recent Super League debacle I think fans all over the world have taken a closer look at what they can do to support the local game instead of the big boys. And yet, the USL League Two, a fantastic product with an interesting player pool, cheap tickets (often free tickets), and a summer schedule that largely doesn't conflict with European or Mexican leagues, doesn't seem to be gaining any traction. 

If you have a local League Two club, and unless you live in Montana you most likely do, I really recommend checking out a game this summer and seeing how it is. Thank you as always for reading, and enjoy this week of Nations League and World Cup qualifying!

March Concacaf Qualifers and Blog Update

Hi everyone! If you happened to read my latest tweet you already know I am going to be temporarily taking a break from Concacaf Lives! Long story short I am very busy at the moment and overwhelmed with stuff and quite frankly just don't feel like writing anything right now. 

I have taken breaks before, and in fact, that is one of the main reasons that I prefer to just keep my thoughts to a personal blog. I can stop to take a breather whenever I want, and there is no real obligation to anyone else because its *my* blog. But this time it is a little different, because I did just start a series of posts and say I was going to look at every group and now I am not going to do that. Sorry for that.

I will still be watching as many of the qualifiers as time allows and will probably still be tweeting dumb jokes about my beloved Suriname, but that's about it. I anticipate getting back into the groove in a few months when things settle down, ideally with less generic previews and more interesting stories. See you then, and as always thank you for reading :)

Concacaf World Cup Qualifying: Group A Storylines

Well well well. It appears that finally, after a long wait, there will be Concacaf World Cup qualifiers starting this March. It will not be a normal qualification cycle in any way, shape or form, with the numerous logistical complications that come with the pandemic. As of now there are some plans in place for neutral site games, and I seriously doubt that every team will be playing at full strength. While Raul Jimenez might get an exception regarding quarantine rules, I don't think your preferred Concacaf Nations League C side will get the same treatment. But it certainly does seem at this point like it will be happening.

So it is going to be weird. Hopefully it is going to be safe. Concacaf had pretty good protocols in place for their continental tournaments, so I'd expect to see a similar level of care taken with these matches. As is always the case here on one of your favorite Concacaf focused soccer platforms, I will be going over the storylines and what to keep an eye on in each group. I'm not going to get too in depth on players, because we simply have no idea who will make it to these games and who won't, especially with the smaller teams in the first round.

To refresh your memory, this first group stage features six groups of five teams each. Each side will play everyone else in their group once, for a total of two home games and two away games. The six group winners will meet in the head-to-head second round, where the top three will advance to the new Octagonal to join the already qualified top 5 of Mexico, the US, Costa Rica, Honduras, and Jamaica.

So today we begin with (surprise surprise) Group A, which features the favored El Salvador, as well as Antigua and Barbuda, Grenada, Montserrat, and the US Virgin Islands.

There are a few interesting things about this group. The most obvious to many fans may be that we get the continuation of the beloved El Salvador-Montserrat rivalry. La Seleccion edged the Emerald Boys during the Concacaf Nations League qualifying a few years back and narrowly stole their Gold Cup spot. El Salvador held off the Caribbean side again in their actual Nations League B group a year later. Will third time be the charm for Montserrat, the darlings of the region who have achieved spectacular highs despite their population of just over 5,000?

Well, this is a good time to transition to the other big story of Group A. El Salvador is pissed. Back when there was a Hex, El Salvador were in line to receive a pass into the final round. They would enter in the Hex, and avoid the long and convoluted qualifying tournament that much of the region was going to play. But instead, the Hex became the Octo, and only the top five teams were given a pass directly to it. Number six is not happy about it. This El Salvador team is going to be playing with a fire and fury unlike anything you've ever seen from them before, and that is not exactly good news for a Montserrat team that has failed to defeat them so far.

But while that rivalry headlines the group, don't forget about Grenada. In fact, I would actually rank the Spice Boys as the 2nd best team in Group A, ahead of Montserrat. Jamal Charles of Real Sociedad (Honduras, not Spain sadly) is an absolute beast, and their undefeated Nations League campaign is a feat that even El Salvador could not pull off (La Seleccion did have 15 points to Grenada's 14, though). Antigua aren't exactly slouches either, and could definitely play spoiler to any of the top three teams and shake the group up in a big way. The US Virgin Islands were inconsistent in Nations League C play and are probably not at the level to cause problems for any of these opponents just yet, but getting in four good games against a very deep Group A will help to develop some of the young talents they have.

El Salvador

They have to be the favorites. Don't let their recent 6-0 pounding at the hands of the US cloud your vision too much; the Salvadorans have by far the most talent in Group A. Their opening match against Grenada could decide the group right then and there, and the match against Montserrat a few days later will be a must see for fans of the confederation's strangest rivalry. 

Grenada

Seriously, Jamal Charles is a beast. If they do manage to upset El Salvador, expect him to be the reason. As far as I know he has no relation to the great Grenadian striker Ricky Charles, but Jamal may be on pace to break his all-time scoring record of 37 goals for the Spice Boys. Grenada are gearing up for their Gold Cup return in the summer, but getting out of this group is a prize they've got their sights on too.

Montserrat

No lowly ranked Concacaf team has garnered as much attention as Montserrat over the past few years. You've probably heard the story by now. Population of 5,000. Once starred in a documentary where they lost The Other Final to Bhutan 4-0 and were declared the worst team in the world. They've only got 9 wins in history, but 5 of them have come in the past two years. Hard to imagine a Montserratian fan 3 years ago thinking their biggest rivals were El Salvador and not Anguilla, but here we are.

Antigua and Barbuda

American fans remember Antigua for that close battle they gave the US in 2014 World Cup qualification, where Eddie Johnson scored a 90th minute winner to barely edge the visitors. Antigua have fallen since then, and they really have no hope of getting out of this group, but as I said above they definitely have the power to make an impact. If Grenada or Montserrat want to win this group, they'll absolutely need the three points off Antigua, and the Benna Boys will not give them up so easily. They did manage a win over Gold Cup participants Guyana back in the Nations League, after all.

US Virgin Islands

I am going to mostly have the same thing to say about the bottom team in every group of this qualifying phase. At this point in time, it's hard to see anything but four clear losses for the USVI. The program is developing, and there were flashes during the Nations League C where the team looked capable, but doing it for a full 90 minutes against opponents of this caliber is a big step up. With lots of very young players in the squad, the goal here is to get experience against a level of competition that you won't ever find playing in the local domestic leagues.

The Good and the Bad of the New CCL Format

 

Hello all, it's been a while since I've done a proper post here. Tigres have become champions and as of the time of writing this are headed to the final four of the Club World Cup. Exciting times to be a fan and exciting times for football in the region. But I am not here to talk about the Club World Cup (or the Guatemalan final which kicks off at 12:00 Eastern on Super Bowl Sunday), but instead we are going to talk about the future.

Concacaf announced yesterday, in their trademark fashion of confusing flowchart graphics and videos, a new format for the Concacaf Champions League starting in the Fall of 2023. The 2021, 2022, and 2023 tournaments will be played under the current format, as will the second-tier Concacaf League tournament.

As I said in a tweet yesterday, while the change a few years back from group stage + knockout to straight knockout felt more like a normal format change, this new CCL is dramatically going to change the picture of Concacaf club football, for better and for worse. There are simply so many implications here, so I want to break every piece down one at a time.

The Good

More Teams. The current CCL format sees only 16 teams in the top competition. The second tier Concacaf League has 22 teams, but the top 6 qualify to the CCL later in the cycle, so in total there were 32 teams involved in continental play during a given cycle. Now we have 20 in North America, 20 in Central America, and 10 in the Caribbean, for a total of 50 teams, all in the top level competition. Furthermore, while the Concacaf League will presumably be scrapped (more on that later), there will be new Central American and Caribbean Cups that will essentially replace that second tier and act as CCL qualifying tournaments. We don't yet know the size of these tournaments, but certainly you are looking at upwards of 70 teams participating in continental/subcontinental football, and that can only be a good thing for the overall quality of teams in the region.

Domestic Cup Revivals. We don't care much for our domestic cups here. Mostly everyone has playoffs, and a lot of places treat the local cup like practice games, if such a competition even exists. This announcement should change things. The long neglected Copa MX could get some extra juice with CCL spots on the line. Many Central American countries have floated around the idea of bringing back domestic cups in recent years. Now here is an opportunity to jump start those cups and make teams care about them immediately.  

Caribbean Progress. The Caribbean has never been as involved with continental tournaments as it should be, and this is a big step in the right direction. 8 pro teams and 2 semi-pro/amateur sides playing against one another in Champions League matches (that means televised and more publicized than the current Caribbean Shield that you may or may not know exists) is big for developing these teams and players. With a crack at one of the big boys on the line, the Caribbean section of the tournament should be exciting and beneficial for the clubs involved.

Central American Cup and Caribbean Cup. We don't know much of anything about these so far, but they sound awesome! Even though they will fill the same general role as qualifiers for the first tier tournament, I think framing them this way is much better. Being Champions of Central America is a much cooler and alluring title than being Champions of Concacaf's second tier tournament. I hope there is some sort of playoff round between teams from both cups, because it would be a shame to miss out on matchups like Arcahaie vs Herediano in the future.

The Bad

North American Dominance. North America obviously possesses the two strongest leagues in Concacaf, and the Canadian Premier League is proving it isn't too shabby either, but this is a tournament for the entire region. Currently, North America already gets 9/16 slots in the knockout round. It feels a bit like the big boys club, but the Central American and Caribbean teams fight hard and give us a lot of good games. They have been rewarded for their efforts with two less spots; North America will now have 11 knockout spots, Central America has four, and the Caribbean just one. I think it is simply too much for the North American teams at this point. Especially when you consider the Leagues Cup, which already features 8 Liga MX and 8 MLS teams, this decision confuses me a little. Either scrap the Leagues Cup entirely or let that be the Mexico vs USA tournament and give the other countries more of a shake in the CCL. 

The Death of the Concacaf League. The Concacaf League is presumably gone after this transition, and replaced by the Central American and Caribbean Cups that are in the works. This is not inherently a bad thing. But it does mean that the final three Concacaf Leagues will lose some steam. Already much of the emphasis is on making it far enough to qualify for the CCL, and that sentiment is sure to increase now. There is no historic emphasis to winning a dying tournament; it is just a blip on the radar now for a club like Alajuelense, whose more casual fans may not recall the tournament ever existed in a decade or so. Again, I think this is more the price you pay for overhauling the system than some sort of horrible error.

The Maybe

Single Leg Final. I know some of the people reading this love the single leg finals, so I'm putting it in the maybe category just for you. But I don't think its a particularly great idea. Two legged series bring their own fun and added drama (especially if there's no away goals like in the Liga MX Final), but a one-off game brings its own charm. I get it. But the bigger issue for me is fan support. This is the biggest game in the region, and it is always going to be played in a neutral site (read: the United States) which can make it hard for fans to get to the game. North America is a huge continent and international travel is a big undertaking. I just can't imagine a full house at MetLife Stadium for say, León vs Vancouver. Maybe the higher seed will get to host instead.

Scheduling Concerns. This is a lot of games added to the schedule. The current CCL runs you at max eight games. Starting in the Concacaf League could add as many as 10 more. That's already quite a bit, and now you're adding even more. The new CCL could run Central American teams (the ones that would normally be in the Concacaf League) as many as 13 games, plus however many need to be played in the Central American Cup. And for North American teams, who may have to play a 34 game regular season plus one or two sets of playoffs, plus a domestic cup, plus the Leagues Cup, and now this many continental games; you are asking a lot of these teams. But there are three years to plan out how to navigate this issue, so I don't think it will necessarily still be a problem when the time comes.

What's in a Playoff Format? (And a Brief International Review)

Our neighbors in Central America have been devastated by two horrific hurricanes in as many weeks. Before reading this post, please consider donating to one of the relief efforts linked in this thread.

Now that the international break has ended, football fans in Concacaf turn their focus towards two major events: The Liga MX playoffs and the MLS Cup playoffs. The region's two largest leagues will both resume this weekend with new play-in rounds that have expanded each tournament beyond what it has been in previous years.

This prompts the question among fans: How big is too big for the playoffs? Of course, these expansions were supposed to be a measure to make up for lost revenue during the pandemic, but I don't think fans of either league would be particularly surprised if the changes are here to stay.

Let's start with Liga MX. As a Tigres fan, my first thought upon seeing the expansion to 12 teams (up from 8) was that this change was awful. Tigres already rarely missed the liguilla, and while I don't ever actually want that to happen, there has to be a chance that it happens, or what fun is the regular season? Even during our terrible stretch in the beginning of the year, the fans joked about how it was fine because there was no way we finished outside the top 12.

But as the season went on and the race for the top 4 (and a precious bye) heated up, the idea grew on me a little. That first wildcard round or play-in round or whatever you want to call it is one leg and is going to be very random. Teams want to avoid it at all costs, which makes the race for the top 4 the compelling part of the regular season, while even the bottom half of the table now feels like they're in the playoff hunt for most of the year. And of course, we do get extra playoff games now. As much as expanded playoffs can potentially ruin a regular season, more playoff matches is always a lot of fun.

I still prefer the old 8/18 system (8/20 was even better!) but I can live with the change. Will it be permanent? This is not actually the first time Liga MX has done more than 8 teams in the postseason. For much of 2000s there used to be 10 playoff teams every season, but eventually the idea was scrapped when the league moved away from divisions and just did a single table. So maybe they actually will reduce it back down when fans are allowed back into the stadiums.

MLS loves their playoffs. For much of the league's existence the regular season has been a complete snoozefest for many fans because the playoffs are so inclusive. In 2020 that remains true, but obviously much moreso because of a certain global pandemic than anything the league decided on back in January. 10/14 teams in the Eastern Conference will head to the postseason, while 8/12 will qualify in the West. Again, I want to stress that MLS was put in a tough spot with so many games being cancelled that I can't blame them for putting almost the entire league into the playoffs.

And the playoffs, if they run smoothly (let's hope they do), will be a ton of fun! MLS is an anybody beats anybody league, and with every round being a one-off now this will have a real US (and Canada) Open Cup feel. I think this was ultimately the best solution for the strange 2020 season.

But, when there is a somewhat normal season next year, I think this number needs to come way down. In 2019, 7 teams from each conference qualified to the playoffs. I have expressed in the past that I still think that's too many, and especially so with the single elimination setup they have now. I don't really like that a team can fight for the #2 seed over a long 34-game season and then go home in the first round on a 0-0 draw where they lose the penalty shootout. I think in a season that long (remember Liga MX plays two short seasons instead) you need to have your playoffs be 2-legged or even revive the old 3 game series idea of MLS' past to give the better team more time to separate themselves. If they insist on the single-game format (and it is a lot of fun most of the time, I can't deny) then the playoffs should be shrunk way down so only the truly deserving teams have a crack at the title.

Anyway, enough about playoff formats, I also wanted to do a quick thought dump on the international break. Most of Concacaf's top teams were in action this week in some capacity, so I'm just going to run through each of them real quick.

Mexico have climbed into the top 10 in the FIFA rankings after comfortably beating South Korea and Japan. It's hard to argue that they aren't top of the region at the moment, and in both games they really turned it on in the second half. Tata Martino is doing a great job.

USA are an interesting one. The game against Wales was meh, and the game against Panama saw pockets of absolute brilliance but also some moments where they looked shaky. Obviously it was a very young and new team playing in a neutral site and I don't really know how much there is to glean from either of these games, but we can definitely all agree there is good reason to be excited about the future of the USMNT.

Costa Rica played very well against Qatar (a much tougher opponent than you may think), drawing 1-1 and completely controlling the second half. They dropped the second game of the window 2-1 to the Basque Country, meaning they finish 2020 winless. Not great. Costa Rica are definitely in the process of finding themselves, and while I expect them to get back to the World Cup I'm not convinced that they'll reach the heights of the 2014 and 2018 cycles.

Panama lost 1-0 to Japan in a game I admittedly did not watch, and then got shelled by the US 6-2. But they did have the lead against the Americans early, and pulled it back to 3-2 late before giving up another flurry of goals in the final 10 minutes. And that was the story for Panama. Two complete collapses where they were overwhelmed for a short stretch and paid dearly for it. Besides those two glaring weak moments, they looked decent enough. Panama are no longer a top 5 team in the region, but making the Octo is definitely doable.

Jamaica played Saudi Arabia twice, getting cleaned up the first game but bouncing back with a 2-1 victory in the rematch. I'm pretty sure the team was discombobulated and jet-lagged and out of practice leading up to the first game, and Saudi Arabia are a good team, so I won't hold it against them too much. Daniel Johnson scored a beauty in the second game, and Jamaica looked a lot more like the Jamaica we know can be one of the best teams in Concacaf.

I did not watch Honduras vs Guatemala :( 

As always, thank you for reading and stay healthy out there!

 

Motagua Squeezes Past Comunicaciones in Penalty Marathon

I just posted about why I love the drama of this tournament not two days ago, and just 48 hours later we are gifted with an all time classic. The Concacaf League is a young tournament, but this has to be the wildest game in its history. Motagua trailed 2-0 in the 48th minute and looked absolutely toasted, but quickly fired back with two quick goals and looked to be en route to a furious comeback. The winner never came, and instead the teams went to penalties. About 35 minutes later, after 36!! spot kicks were taken, Motagua came out on top. Watch the whole thing here, if you'd like.

I have watched a lot of soccer in my time on this earth. I have watched plenty of penalty shootouts. And this was not only the longest I had ever seen in my life, this was the longest I had ever even heard of! 18 rounds?!? I recall Liverpool went something like 14 or 15 in the League Cup a few years ago, and that was the longest I knew of. And perhaps the title of craziest I've ever seen still goes to the 2015 AFCON final, when Ivory Coast's backup goalkeeper made a few huge saves and converted the winner in the 11th round, but I think last night's shootout has a case.

Gerardo Gordillo, a fine player on the Comunicaciones back line, had a chance to clinch it in the 7th frame. No luck. Oh well, it happens. What doesn't usually happen is getting a chance at redemption. He came up again in the 17th frame, with another chance to clinch it. Oh. My. Goodness. You already know what happened.

I did a little research on where this ranks among the longest shootouts of all time. I found that the 2005 Namibian Cup final went an impressive 24 rounds, apparently the world record. Now this is one I wish I could have seen; after 24 rounds KK Palace won it 17-16! How the heck did they miss that many and it still wouldn't end?

I also found that while that Namibian Cup game is the professional record, two teams in the Czech 5th Division final went on for 52 kicks back in 2016. Madness. Gordillo is certainly not the first player to miss twice in the same shootout, though maybe he is the first to miss two game-winners. But I wonder if anyone in either of these marathons actually missed three times? 

Anyway, penalties are pretty great. Are they the best way to settle a game? Maybe not. But are they the most fun? Oh yes, yes indeed.

You Don't Need Quality to Have Drama

The Concacaf League returned on Tuesday night with an absolutely electric game. Heavy favorites FAS of El Salvador dominated the first half while visiting Managua FC clung on for dear life and were lucky to be down only 1-0 at halftime. But in the later stages of the game Managua completely took charge and overwhelmed FAS, not only scoring an equalizer but threatening for more. In this single elimination win or go home format, the tension during the final 10 minutes or so was palpable through the TV screen. Managua eventually clinched a historic upset victory after a lengthy penalty shootout.

 

People sometimes ask me why I'm watching a match between two teams that in the grand scheme of the world are so tiny. Surely I'd be more interested in watching the glitz and glamor of the UEFA Champions League? Now don't get me wrong, the high level European game is amazing. It brings incredible star power and so many players who are absolute wizards on the pitch, and the communal experience of seeing half my twitter timeline explode at the same time when there's a terrible VAR decision is special. I love it. And I'm a Liga MX fan, a league with no shortage of bright lights surrounding it.

But there is something very different about watching smaller teams, something that can simply never be replicated by the world's most prestigious leagues and clubs. I don't know what to call it other than magic. 

Football is a game that is about so much more than the quality of play, or the stature of the players. It is a story; unscripted drama, and competitions like the Concacaf League offer a different type of drama that cannot exist in football's upper echelons. Managua are a side comprised of many players who need to work other jobs during the off-season to make ends meet. They play football in a country where baseball and boxing reign supreme, and are fighting for the entire soccer fan base in Nicaragua in an attempt to build more excitement around the sport. 

A lot of these players had never played a match outside of their home country before; and if they lost last night, perhaps they never would again. This tournament is a once in a lifetime experience for clubs like Managua, (and Arcahaie and Verdes, who will hopefully get their chance one day soon), and they marched right into one of the most daunting stadiums on the continent, empty or not, and won a battle against relative giants. That's magic.

I don't say this to patronize or belittle the Managuas of the world. Lots of small clubs have great players and show a level of professionalism that Liga MX teams could never dream of. They aren't a curiosity; they are a testament to how great this game is and what makes it special. Hardworking dreamers who can accomplish extraordinary things as a team.

And we cannot forget teams like FAS on the other side of the table, who have their own unique stories to them. Once the kings of Salvadoran football, they haven't won a league title in over a decade and have watched arch-rivals Alianza achieve great success both at home and on the continental level. They purchased Colombian striker Raul Peñaranda, who led Alianza to great success in this very tournament just one year ago, and dreamed of a dramatic run of their own. Instead, they have gone home in the preliminary round, unsure of what the future holds for the once great club.

The storylines surrounding soccer teams are ever-present. It doesn't matter if you are in Concacaf, UEFA, CAF, or anywhere else, and it does not matter if the team is rich, poor, or somewhere in between. There will always be drama. I'm sure if you regularly read this blog you don't need much convincing, but I urge every fan to take some time to watch the unknown teams of their region battle it out. Learn their backstories, soak up the raw passion for the game, and enjoy the magic. That's what I'll be doing tonight with some more delicious Concacaf League, and I can't wait.

 

2020 Concacaf League Preliminary Round Preview

The Concacaf League, the region's second-tier continental club competition, is finally set to return on October 20, with the preliminary round matches to be played as single-legged affairs rather than the usual two legs. It's a very weird time for any sort of international games in the Americas, and I really don't know if all of these games will be played, or if this tournament will ever finish, or if they will go into a bubble in the later rounds like the UEFA Champions League. We just don't know right now. But regardless, previewing the Concacaf League is a tradition of mine that predates the existence of this blog, so I'm going to do it anyway. There are a total of 6 matches slated for next week, with 10 countries represented.

Alajuelense 🇨🇷 vs Cibao 🇩🇴

Cibao have been in the continental picture for a few seasons now, but they've never really been drawn against a team they could beat. The streak continues with this match against the Costa Rican giants Alajuelense, but at least in a one-legged affair they've got a chance. Cibao just started their domestic season last week, while Ala are 9 games in and boast the most impressive record in Central America right now with 8 wins and 1 draw. The ageless Alvaro Saborio leads the team in goals. I don't think they can completely look past a normally defensively sound Cibao side, but Alajuelense have to be thinking that they can go all the way this time.

FAS 🇸🇻 vs Managua 🇳🇮

A year ago in this tournament Salvadoran teams made quite a splash, but FAS was not among that group. FAS recently returned to play in the El Salvador Primera last week, losing 3-1 to Isidro Metapán. The Salvadoran league, by the way, is playing in three separate geographic bubbles, before converging down to two geographic bubbles, before then meeting in one more serious bubble for the playoffs. One of the more unique ideas we've seen, but let's hope it works out alright. Veterans of the Concacaf League may recognize Raul Peñaranda for FAS, who has featured for both Alianza and Arabe Unido in the past. The Colombian striker scored the club's only goal in the season opener. Managua are the two-time regining runners-up in Nicaragua, having lost both finals to Real Estelí. They won their first game of the season 2-0, and the core of this team does have some good Concacaf experience having put up a great fight against Motagua a year ago. FAS are the favorites, but this one could get interesting.

Motagua 🇭🇳 vs Comunicaciones 🇬🇹

If you like brand names, this is your match. Two of the biggest clubs in Central America going at it in a do or die showdown? That's good eats. Motagua are 3-0 in their return to play so far in Honduras, but the results have been a little shaky to get them there. They have conceded in all three matches, and two of them were against teams that failed to make the playoffs a year ago. On the flip side though, this Motagua team has been here before, going all the way to the finals last year before falling to Saprissa. The club also recently signed Argentine journeyman Gonzalo Klusener, who already has made his impact felt with two goals in league play. Across from them is the 30-time champions of Guatemala and current co-leaders in their domestic group (they also have a game in hand), Comunicaciones. Earlier this year Los Cremas took Club América all the way to penalties in the CCL, and they've got great momentum after a big win over rivals Antigua yesterday. Quality wise, this is the best game of the preliminaries, for sure.

Arcahaie 🇭🇹 vs Verdes 🇧🇿

Conversely, quality wise, this is likely to be the worst game of the preliminaries. Certainly on paper it looks that way. But this match-up between Haiti's most recent champions and Belize's most recent champions is a real chance for the little guys. Looking ahead on the bracket you have Waterhouse of Jamaica meeting the winner of this game. That means a team from Belize or the Caribbean is guaranteed a spot in the quarterfinals; a fantastic achievement for all three clubs. Verdes have recently resumed play, but Arcahaie have had more time to get back into a groove, having played seven games so far this season. I don't have much to say about these teams but I am really excited to see one of them advance.

Municipal Limeño 🇸🇻 vs Forge FC 🇨🇦

Municipal Limeño (legendary crest) are traditionally one of those mid-tier teams in El Salvador that qualify for the playoffs and then get knocked out by one of the big boys. But times have changed for Los Chancheros. This team is looking more like the Limeño side that reached two finals back around the turn of the millenium, and their Concacaf debut is a huge moment for the club. They will face Forge FC from Hamilton, Ontario, the two-time reigning Canadian Premier League champions. Forge just finished a very impressive campaign up in the CPL's bubble, gaining steam as the tournament went on and closing it out with a 2-0 victory in the final. Fans may recognize their 2020 top scorer Kyle Bekker from his MLS days. Limeño lost their first game of the season to Aguila 2-1, but La Selecta veteran Edwin Sánchez did at least get on the board for them.

Independiente 🇵🇦 vs Antigua 🇬🇹

Independiente secured their place in Concacaf lore when they dismantled Toronto FC in the Champions League two years ago. They did fine enough in the Concacaf League last year; there's no shame in losing to Saprissa, but this club can smell revenge. If they can get there, a rematch with the Costa Rican giants will likely be waiting for them in the quarterfinals. But play has not yet resumed in Panama, and CAI were floundering in the league before it was suspended, so they've got a long way to go before they need to worry about the quarterfinals. Antigua are putting up a meh campaign so far in Guatemala, but games are always better than no games. CAI have played some friendlies and a handful of the players have been at national team camps, but jumping straight into a continental match will not be easy. I don't want to call either of these teams washed up, but I think two or three years ago this match would've been a lot more compelling.

Jamal Charles and Grenada are Ready to Shoot for the Stars

The Spice Boys of Grenada have never really found themselves among Concacaf’s elite. They’ve never made the final round of World Cup qualifying and have made the Gold Cup just twice, in 2009 and 2011. They certainly lack the reputation of the Caribbean’s top sides like Jamaica and Trinidad.

But in these turbulent times, with a new cycle of World Cup Qualifying on the near horizon, Grenada may finally be poised to make a big splash. Concacaf’s new World Cup Qualification format sees the Hex expanded to eight teams and rebranded as the Octo, meaning it’s now just a tiny bit easier for dreamers like Grenada to get in. The new format has also thrust the bottom 30 teams directly into a four match group stage that will immediately narrow the field to just six teams, three of which will join the top five who automatically qualified to the Octo via their FIFA ranking.

The Spice Boys were among the most impressive teams in the Nations League B last cycle, going undefeated in six matches and finishing with 14 points. Jamal Charles, already a budding star for the national team, really came into his own during the campaign, tallying 6 goals and dominating throughout. The highlight of Charles' hot run came in the final match, when his team needed all three of his goals to edge out Belize.

And the draw for that group stage I mentioned? It was quite frankly about as good Grenada could have hoped for. Being placed in Pot 3 seemed disastrous but the Boys ended up with one of the more well balanced groups in the field. El Salvador are always a threat and will be itching to set the record straight after being denied a Hex place by the format change, Antigua are talented and looking to bounce back after a poor Nations League run (albeit in a tough group), Montserrat are the upstart darlings and the US Virgin Islands proved very difficult to put away for their League C opponents.

With just four matches to be played and little room for error, smaller sides have a real chance to shake things up. A draw with El Salvador, if Grenada can take care of everyone else, may very well be all it takes to top the group. When La Selecta host the Spice Boys in the first match on October 8th, the normally imposing crowd at the Estadio Cuscatlán will, presumably (and hopefully for safety reasons) be greatly diminished or nonexistent, making life a heck of a lot easier for the visitors. With no return fixture, it’s the most important game of the group. If this team plays at the level they did last fall, I expect them to win the other three games, especially considering Montserrat will likely be lacking more than a few overseas based players.

I wouldn’t hold my breath, but hopefully when October rolls around we actually do get to see these matches safely played, and if you like underdogs in World Cup Qualifying (and we all do), there are perhaps no minnows with as good of a shot as Grenada right now. If they could topple El Salvador, they'll get a date with the Group F winner (likely Trinidad or Guyana) for a place in the Octo. Who's to say they can't get that far? I certainly wouldn't count them out.